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Daily Stock Analysis. Today: Expedia

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  • Post last modified:November 12, 2024

Professional Analysis of Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) Over The Last Month

Note: This analysis is based on one month's information and aims to provide a detailed overview for traders assessing Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE). For those new to stock trading, you can start by understanding what stock trading is and how to start trading stocks.

1. Recent Earnings and Performance

  • Earnings Report: Expedia Group reported its third-quarter 2024 earnings with an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $6.13. This figure exceeds the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.49% and shows a 13% increase year over year.
  • Revenue Figures: The total revenues accumulated to $4.06 billion, marking a 3% year-over-year increase. However, this figure slightly missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate.
    • B2B Growth: B2B revenues grew by 18% to $1.2 billion.
    • B2C Decline: B2C revenues decreased by 1.4% to $2.78 billion.
    • trivago Slump: trivago saw a decline by 11.3% in its revenues to $102 million.

2. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets

  • General Consensus: The average analyst rating for Expedia stock is "Buy" from 28 analysts.
  • Price Forecasts: The 12-month stock price forecast averages to $151.18, representing a potential decrease of -8.79% from the current price, with estimates ranging between $128 to $190 per share.

3. Financial Forecasts for 2024 and 2025

  • 2024 Outlook: Expedia forecasts gross bookings to rise by 5% and revenue growth of approximately 6% over 2023, with anticipated slight improvements in EBITDA and EBIT margins.
  • 2025 Projections:
    • Revenue: Projected revenues are $14.6 billion, a 9.1% increase over the past 12 months.
    • EPS Growth: EPS is predicted to rise significantly, by 30%, to reach $10.75.

4. Stock Performance

  • Price Surge: Expedia's stock surged 13% within a week after its quarterly results announcement and as of the last trading day (November 11, 2024), the stock price stood at $184.32, marking a 7-day consecutive gain.

5. Potential Acquisition Buzz

  • Market Speculation: Reports of a possible bid for Expedia by Uber Technologies impacted the stock price, causing an 8% jump in Expedia’s shares, and conversely, a 3% drop in Uber's premarket trading.

6. Financial Health Overview

  • Cash and Debt: As of September 30, 2024, the company maintained $6.24 billion in cash and cash equivalents and $6.263 billion in long-term debt.
  • Leverage Ratios: The gross leverage ratio was brought down to 2.2X with a target of reaching 2X.

7. Key Financial Metrics

  • Twelve-Month Review:
    • Revenue was $13.26 billion.
    • Net income stood at $808 million.
    • EPS recorded is $5.66.
    • The forward PE ratio is 12.97, and beta reads 1.78.

The above data is critical for traders evaluating the potential risks and rewards of investing in Expedia. For further insights into analyzing stocks, check this guide on stock analysis.

For more diverse financial instruments and platforms, consider exploring Expedia on Yahoo Finance.


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Professional Analysis of Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE)

This analysis is based on the past year's data and is designed to provide a comprehensive view of Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) for potential investors and traders.

Analyst Ratings and Price Targets

  • The average 12-month price target for Expedia (EXPE) is approximately $151.18, suggesting a potential decrease between -8.79% and -11.79% from the current stock price.
  • Price target range is quite wide, from $118 to $200, indicating diverse opinions from analysts.
  • The consensus from 28 analysts is a "Buy" or "Moderate Buy", with:
    • 8 buy ratings
    • 20 hold ratings
    • 0 sell ratings

For more information about analyzing stocks, see Analyzing Stocks for Investment.

Current and Historical Stock Performance

  • Current Stock Price: Around $164.87
  • 52-week High: $166.61
  • 52-week Low: $107.25
  • Performance:
    • EXPE outperformed the US Hospitality industry and the US Market over the last year, with a 39.7% return compared to the 32.5% for the industry and 31.5% for the market.

For insights into stock market basics, visit Stock Market Basics for Beginners.

Financial Performance

  • Revenue over the trailing twelve months (TTM): $13.26 billion
  • Earnings: $808 million, marking a significant year-on-year increase:
    • Revenue up by 10.05%
    • Earnings up by 126.42%
  • Valuation Ratios:
    • Forward PE Ratio: 12.97
    • Current PE Ratio: 29.31

To understand more about stock trading, check What is Stock Trading.

Future Projections

  • Projected Revenue:
    • $13.96 billion for the current year
    • $14.93 billion for the next year
  • Earnings Per Share (EPS) is expected to grow from:
    • $5.66 to $12.05 in the current year
    • $14.59 in the next year

For advanced stock trading strategies, see Advanced Stock Trading Techniques.

Volatility and Risk

  • Beta is 1.78-1.79, indicating higher volatility than the market.
  • Average weekly movement: Approximately 4.9%, relatively stable in comparison to the broader market.

To understand stock volatility, refer to Understanding Stock Volatility.

Other Considerations

  • Speculative News: Recent unconfirmed reports suggest Uber might consider a bid for Expedia, impacting the stock price.

For the latest in stock market news, visit Stock Market News Analysis.

Additional Resources

This analysis covers fundamental aspects of EXPE's performance and outlook, equipping traders with vital data to make informed decisions.

Disclaimer: This information material (regardless of whether it reflects opinions or not) is intended solely for general information purposes. It does not constitute independent financial analysis and is not financial or investment advice. It should not be relied upon as a decisive basis for an investment decision. This information material is never to be understood as GlazHome/CostGame recommending or deeming the acquisition or disposal of certain financial instruments, a particular timing for an investment decision, or a specific investment strategy suitable for any particular person. In particular, the information does not take into account the individual investment goals or financial circumstances of any individual investor. The information has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of financial analysis and is therefore considered a marketing communication. Although GlazHome/CostGame is not expressly prevented from acting before providing the information, GlazHome/CostGame does not seek to gain an advantage by disseminating the information beforehand.